Syracuse Crunch at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Syracuse Crunch

6:2

Final

Utica Comets

The sheet

SYRUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

50%50%

xG: 1.62.2
High danger: 32
Chances: 66
Shots: 1927

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

UTC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal27

6Scoring chances6

3High-danger chances2

1.55Expected goals2.16

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–8	1–3	1–2	0.4–0.7
2nd	8–10	2–2	1–0	0.7–0.8
3rd	4–9	3–1	1–0	0.5–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
UTC	4	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 25
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.16
GSAx: +0.16

Nico Daws

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 13
Allowed: 6
xGA: 1.56
GSAx: -4.44

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:45Penalty
1st 12:02Penalty
1st 15:04Lenni Hämeenaho (0–1)high · 9 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
1st 18:29Penalty
2nd 4:05Wojciech Stachowiak (1–1)low · 33 ft · beat Nico Daws
2nd 5:41Penalty
2nd 5:58Dylan Duke (2–1)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Nico Daws
2nd 10:27Penalty
2nd 11:14Dylan Duke (3–1)5v4 · low · 44 ft · beat Nico Daws
2nd 12:57Penalty
2nd 15:27Tristan Allard (4–1)low · 33 ft · beat Nico Daws
2nd 17:30Brendan Furry (5–1)medium · 23 ft · beat Nico Daws
3rd 3:48Penalty
3rd 5:40Dylan Duke (6–1)5v4 · high · 8 ft · beat Nico Daws
3rd 6:51Ethan Edwards (6–2)low · 36 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
3rd 16:23Penalty
3rd 16:23Penalty
3rd 16:23Penalty
3rd 19:08Penalty