AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 14

Springfield Thunderbirds at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Springfield Thunderbirds
3:7
Final
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

SPRLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
18%82%
xG
1.32.7
High danger
13
Chances
311
Shots
2029

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal29
3Scoring chances11
1High-danger chances3
1.33Expected goals2.74

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–62–20–10.5–0.5
2nd9–101–61–20.6–1.4
3rd5–130–30–00.2–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SPR−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SPR310:20 of the 3rd9:409:40+0.014 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Vadim Zherenko
Shots faced
29
Saves
22
Allowed
7
xGA
2.74
GSAx
-4.26
Aleksei Kolosov
Shots faced
20
Saves
17
Allowed
3
xGA
1.33
GSAx
-1.67

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:12Alexis Gendron (0–1)medium · wrist · 24 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 13:37Penalty
  • 1st 14:45Chris Wagner (1–1)5v4 · medium · 36 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 1st 15:46Anthony Richard (1–2)high · 22 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 1st 18:04Penalty
  • 1st 19:22Penalty
  • 1st 19:22Penalty
  • 1st 19:22Penalty
  • 2nd 3:29Zayde Wisdom (1–3)low · 33 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 6:07Logan Mailloux (2–3)low · 39 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 2nd 6:32Sam Stange (3–3)low · 48 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 2nd 7:50Alex Bump (3–4)high · 23 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 2nd 17:41Penalty
  • 3rd 4:15Denver Barkey (3–5)low · 37 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 10:20Carl Grundström (3–6)low · 39 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 11:04Denver Barkey (3–7)medium · 24 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko