AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 15

Laval Rocket at Hartford Wolf Pack

PeoplesBank Arena · Hartford, CT

Laval Rocket
5:2
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

LAVHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
58%42%
xG
3.22.8
High danger
54
Chances
1511
Shots
3129

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal29
15Scoring chances11
5High-danger chances4
3.24Expected goals2.80

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11–56–12–01.2–0.4
2nd10–94–11–01.0–0.6
3rd10–155–92–41.1–1.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD216:53 of the 3rd3:073:07+0.014 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
31
Saves
26
Allowed
5
xGA
3.24
GSAx
-1.76
Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
29
Saves
27
Allowed
2
xGA
2.80
GSAx
+0.80

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:03Penalty
  • 1st 13:35Penalty
  • 1st 14:16Florian Xhekaj (1–0)5v4 · medium · 14 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 1st 15:33Penalty
  • 1st 16:03Penalty
  • 1st 18:37Owen Beck (2–0)medium · 15 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 4:33Penalty
  • 2nd 4:41Dylan Roobroeck (2–1)5v4 · medium · 32 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 13:59Penalty
  • 2nd 13:59Penalty
  • 2nd 18:50Penalty
  • 3rd 4:17Penalty
  • 3rd 4:17Penalty
  • 3rd 4:17Penalty
  • 3rd 4:17Penalty
  • 3rd 4:31Trey Fix-Wolansky (2–2)5v4 · high · 24 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 3rd 7:15Penalty
  • 3rd 8:38Lucas Condotta (3–2)5v4 · medium · 7 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 11:47Penalty
  • 3rd 13:40Penalty
  • 3rd 13:40Penalty
  • 3rd 16:23Penalty
  • 3rd 16:53Alex Belzile (4–2)5v4 · medium · 12 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 3rd 17:58Penalty
  • 3rd 18:19Lucas Condotta (5–2)empty net · high · 8 ft · beat Dylan Garand