AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 15

Rochester Americans at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Rochester Americans
5:3
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

ROCBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
62%38%
xG
2.61.9
High danger
22
Chances
44
Shots
3826

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

38Shots on goal26
4Scoring chances4
2High-danger chances2
2.57Expected goals1.95

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st18–43–22–11.6–0.4
2nd9–90–20–10.3–1.0
3rd11–131–00–00.6–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Marcus Högberg
Shots faced
38
Saves
33
Allowed
5
xGA
2.57
GSAx
-2.43
Devon Levi
Shots faced
26
Saves
23
Allowed
3
xGA
1.95
GSAx
-1.05

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:42Jack Rathbone (1–0)low · 17 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 1st 11:55Penalty
  • 1st 13:38Jagger Joshua (2–0)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 27 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 1st 13:53Penalty
  • 1st 13:53Penalty
  • 1st 13:53Penalty
  • 1st 13:53Penalty
  • 1st 14:16Cam Thiesing (2–1)high · 20 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 1st 19:13Penalty
  • 1st 19:56Jagger Joshua (3–1)5v4 · medium · 10 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 2nd 3:55Marc Gatcomb (3–2)grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 6:36Penalty
  • 2nd 13:59Julien Gauthier (3–3)low · 39 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 18:46Penalty
  • 3rd 1:17Penalty
  • 3rd 5:33Penalty
  • 3rd 11:00Konsta Helenius (4–3)low · 46 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
  • 3rd 18:55Anton Wahlberg (5–3)empty net · low · 122 ft · beat Marcus Högberg