AHLDashboard
Saturday, November 15

Utica Comets at Providence Bruins

Amica Mutual Pavilion · Providence, RI

Utica Comets
2:3
Final / OT
Providence Bruins

The sheet

UTCPROSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
48%52%
xG
3.93.7
High danger
44
Chances
139
Shots
3645

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
PRO above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% PRO.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

36Shots on goal45
13Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances4
3.91Expected goals3.70

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st132235131.01.9
2nd13962211.70.8
3rd8841101.10.5
OT2601000.10.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
45
Saves
42
Allowed
3
xGA
3.70
GSAx
+0.70
Shots faced
36
Saves
34
Allowed
2
xGA
3.91
GSAx
+1.91

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:30Penalty
  • 1st 7:03Penalty
  • 1st 8:27Dans Locmelis (0–1)4v5 · high · 16 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 1st 11:06Penalty
  • 1st 19:25Riley Tufte (0–2)low · 26 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 11:07Xavier Parent (1–2)grade A · rebound · 21 ft · beat Simon Zajicek
  • 2nd 16:42Penalty
  • 3rd 3:15Penalty
  • 3rd 10:23Angus Crookshank (2–2)medium · 14 ft · beat Simon Zajicek
  • 3rd 11:07Penalty
  • 3rd 11:07Penalty
  • 3rd 11:07Penalty
  • OT 4:50Dans Locmelis (2–3)medium · 16 ft · beat Nico Daws