AHLDashboard
Saturday, November 15

Abbotsford Canucks at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
0:7
Final
San Diego Gulls

The sheet

ABBSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
12%88%
xG
1.63.9
High danger
39
Chances
617
Shots
1730

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SD above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 57% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

17Shots on goal30
6Scoring chances17
3High-danger chances9
1.64Expected goals3.94

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9853221.10.9
2nd51116130.41.3
3rd31108040.11.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−40:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB40:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
30
Saves
23
Allowed
7
xGA
3.95
GSAx
-3.05
Shots faced
17
Saves
17
Allowed
0
xGA
1.64
GSAx
+1.64

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:33Penalty
  • 1st 4:53Justin Bailey (0–1)4v5 · grade A · 12 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 1st 10:08Penalty
  • 1st 10:08Penalty
  • 1st 11:06Judd Caulfield (0–2)high · 10 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 1st 16:22Judd Caulfield (0–3)medium · 13 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 1st 17:27Penalty
  • 1st 19:10Penalty
  • 2nd 2:05Ryan Carpenter (0–4)high · 21 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 2nd 5:07Penalty
  • 2nd 5:07Penalty
  • 2nd 7:52Penalty
  • 2nd 12:15Penalty
  • 2nd 15:36Penalty
  • 2nd 18:38Penalty
  • 3rd 0:44Penalty
  • 3rd 4:14Penalty
  • 3rd 6:36Sam Colangelo (0–5)high · rebound · 15 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 3rd 8:42Penalty
  • 3rd 10:09Penalty
  • 3rd 10:26Sasha Pastujov (0–6)5v4 · high · 15 ft · beat Ty Young
  • 3rd 11:54Penalty
  • 3rd 11:54Penalty
  • 3rd 11:54Penalty
  • 3rd 11:54Penalty
  • 3rd 11:54Penalty
  • 3rd 11:54Penalty
  • 3rd 11:54Penalty
  • 3rd 11:54Penalty
  • 3rd 14:11Justin Bailey (0–7)medium · 9 ft · beat Ty Young