AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 15

Calgary Wranglers at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Calgary Wranglers
6:4
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

CGYHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
31%69%
xG
2.74.1
High danger
47
Chances
917
Shots
2834

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 71% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal34
9Scoring chances17
4High-danger chances7
2.70Expected goals4.10

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–94–62–21.0–1.3
2nd10–162–71–30.9–1.9
3rd8–93–41–20.8–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HSK−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HSK116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ivan Prosvetov
Shots faced
34
Saves
30
Allowed
4
xGA
4.10
GSAx
+0.10
Jesper Vikman
Shots faced
28
Saves
22
Allowed
6
xGA
2.70
GSAx
-3.30

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:18Martin Frk (1–0)high · tip · 16 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 1st 10:12Penalty
  • 1st 11:13Raphael Lavoie (1–1)5v4 · grade A · backhand · rebound · 6 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 1st 11:25Penalty
  • 1st 13:09Penalty
  • 1st 14:18Justin Kirkland (2–1)5v4 · high · tip · 12 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 1st 15:32Penalty
  • 2nd 1:17Penalty
  • 2nd 1:22Dylan Coghlan (2–2)5v4 · low · slap · 55 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 2:27Penalty
  • 2nd 5:57Jonas Røndbjerg (2–3)low · snap · 39 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 6:54William Strömgren (3–3)low · snap · 22 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 10:22Martin Frk (4–3)low · wrist · 44 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 15:34Matvei Gridin (5–3)low · wrist · 39 ft · beat Jesper Vikman
  • 2nd 18:23Tuomas Uronen (5–4)medium · wrist · 23 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 3rd 0:58Penalty
  • 3rd 5:50Penalty
  • 3rd 12:10Penalty
  • 3rd 19:33Martin Frk (6–4)empty net · grade A · wrist · 2 ft · beat Jesper Vikman