AHLDashboard
Sunday, November 16

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Hershey Bears

Giant Center · Hershey, PA

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
1:2
Final / OT
Hershey Bears

The sheet

LVHERSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
41%59%
xG
2.83.4
High danger
54
Chances
913
Shots
3737

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HER above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% HER.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

37Shots on goal37
9Scoring chances13
5High-danger chances4
2.81Expected goals3.35

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st121225120.71.1
2nd141234311.21.0
3rd111143100.90.8
OT0201010.00.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
37
Saves
35
Allowed
2
xGA
3.35
GSAx
+1.35
Shots faced
37
Saves
36
Allowed
1
xGA
2.81
GSAx
+1.81

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 2nd 1:31Alexis Gendron (1–0)low · 51 ft · beat Clay Stevenson
  • 2nd 3:16Penalty
  • 2nd 3:16Penalty
  • 2nd 5:48Penalty
  • 2nd 7:59Penalty
  • 2nd 14:02Penalty
  • 3rd 2:24Penalty
  • 3rd 8:11Penalty
  • 3rd 9:39Penalty
  • 3rd 13:12Ilya Protas (1–1)low · 13 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 3rd 16:37Penalty
  • OT 2:06Connor Mayer (1–2)high · rebound · 30 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov