AHLDashboard
‹ Sunday, November 16

Abbotsford Canucks at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
2:5
Final
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

ABBCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
27%73%
xG
1.52.4
High danger
23
Chances
48
Shots
2028

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal28
4Scoring chances8
2High-danger chances3
1.48Expected goals2.40

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–112–41–00.5–1.0
2nd7–101–30–30.4–1.0
3rd8–71–11–00.6–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Aku Koskenvuo
Shots faced
28
Saves
23
Allowed
5
xGA
2.40
GSAx
-2.60
Victor Östman
Shots faced
20
Saves
18
Allowed
2
xGA
1.48
GSAx
-0.52

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:52Jonathan Lekkerimäki (1–0)low · 25 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 1st 12:20Penalty
  • 1st 14:16Jacob Melanson (1–1)5v4 · medium · 37 ft · beat Aku Koskenvuo
  • 1st 18:25Jagger Firkus (1–2)medium · 25 ft · beat Aku Koskenvuo
  • 1st 19:04Penalty
  • 2nd 8:05Tyson Jugnauth (1–3)low · 29 ft · beat Aku Koskenvuo
  • 2nd 11:33Penalty
  • 2nd 17:33Jacob Melanson (1–4)high · 21 ft · beat Aku Koskenvuo
  • 2nd 19:47Penalty
  • 3rd 18:11Penalty
  • 3rd 18:11Penalty
  • 3rd 19:28Ben Berard (2–4)5v4 · high · 38 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 3rd 19:51Jacob Melanson (2–5)empty net · low · 125 ft · beat Aku Koskenvuo