AHLDashboard
Tuesday, November 18

Springfield Thunderbirds at Hartford Wolf Pack

PeoplesBank Arena · Hartford, CT

Springfield Thunderbirds
2:3
Final / OT
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

SPRHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
21%79%
xG
1.82.8
High danger
16
Chances
49
Shots
2331

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineSPR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 50% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal31
4Scoring chances9
1High-danger chances6
1.76Expected goals2.85

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st11320100.90.1
2nd8915040.51.1
3rd41614020.41.5
OT0300000.00.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
2.85
GSAx
-0.15
Shots faced
23
Saves
21
Allowed
2
xGA
1.76
GSAx
-0.24

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 13:08Nikita Alexandrov (1–0)low · 40 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 1st 15:34Penalty
  • 1st 16:16Logan Mailloux (2–0)5v4 · low · 39 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 2nd 1:24Penalty
  • 2nd 6:52Penalty
  • 2nd 11:47Penalty
  • 2nd 15:05Penalty
  • 2nd 16:08Penalty
  • 3rd 2:34Penalty
  • 3rd 2:34Penalty
  • 3rd 3:11Justin Dowling (2–1)low · 18 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 4:53Penalty
  • 3rd 6:59Brett Berard (2–2)low · 20 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko
  • 3rd 13:08Penalty
  • OT 3:04Penalty
  • OT 3:52Penalty
  • OT 4:27Casey Fitzgerald (2–3)low · 13 ft · beat Vadim Zherenko