Toronto Marlies
Belleville SenatorsThe sheet
- xG
- 1.93.9
- High danger
- 17
- Chances
- 515
- Shots
- 2539
Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.
Expected goals, minute by minute
Win probability, as it happened
The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.
Head to head
By period
| Per | SOG | SC | HD | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6–15 | 1–3 | 0–0 | 0.4–1.0 |
| 2nd | 6–10 | 2–5 | 0–2 | 0.6–0.9 |
| 3rd | 13–14 | 2–7 | 1–5 | 0.9–2.0 |
Away–home, in that order.
Pulling the goalie
| Trailing | First behind by | Net empty from | Time left | Empty-net time | Worth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 3 | 9:31 of the 3rd | 10:29 | 10:29 | +0.015 pts |
“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.
In goal
- Shots faced
- 39
- Saves
- 35
- Allowed
- 4
- xGA
- 3.90
- GSAx
- -0.10
- Shots faced
- 25
- Saves
- 25
- Allowed
- 0
- xGA
- 1.93
- GSAx
- +1.93
Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.
Scoring and penalties
- 1st 13:44Oskar Pettersson
- 1st 14:13Penalty
- 1st 15:20Carter Yakemchuk
- 1st 16:10Penalty
- 1st 19:53Penalty
- 2nd 10:55Penalty
- 2nd 16:13Penalty
- 2nd 19:56Penalty
- 3rd 7:04Penalty
- 3rd 9:31Arthur Kaliyev
- 3rd 13:56Penalty
- 3rd 18:32Jan Jeník