Syracuse Crunch at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Syracuse Crunch

3:2

Final

Laval Rocket

The sheet

SYRLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

75%25%

xG: 3.62.2
High danger: 83
Chances: 178
Shots: 2727

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

LAV above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal27

17Scoring chances8

8High-danger chances3

3.62Expected goals2.21

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	13–6	7–3	3–0	1.6–0.6
2nd	7–11	5–4	2–2	1.0–1.0
3rd	7–10	5–1	3–1	1.0–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
LAV	1	18:37 of the 3rd	1:23	1:23	+0.032 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Brandon Halverson

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 25
Allowed: 2
xGA: 2.21
GSAx: +0.21

Jacob Fowler

Shots faced: 27
Saves: 24
Allowed: 3
xGA: 3.62
GSAx: +0.62

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:31Penalty
1st 10:45Penalty
1st 13:46Penalty
1st 13:46Penalty
2nd 4:31Adam Engström (0–1)low · wrist · 18 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
2nd 5:32Penalty
2nd 6:00Penalty
2nd 13:00Penalty
2nd 13:12Mitchell Chaffee (1–1)5v4 · high · wrist · 10 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
3rd 3:20Penalty
3rd 3:49Penalty
3rd 5:24Mitchell Chaffee (2–1)5v4 · medium · wrist · 24 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
3rd 6:45William Trudeau (2–2)low · wrist · 33 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
3rd 12:37Penalty
3rd 12:37Penalty
3rd 12:37Penalty
3rd 18:37Tommy Miller (3–2)low · snap · 54 ft · beat Jacob Fowler