AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 21

Charlotte Checkers at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Charlotte Checkers
2:1
Final
Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CLTGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
14%86%
xG
1.85.0
High danger
410
Chances
518
Shots
2841

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
GR above the lineCLT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal41
5Scoring chances18
4High-danger chances10
1.84Expected goals5.04

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–111–50–30.7–1.4
2nd6–172–82–60.5–2.4
3rd12–132–52–10.7–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

GR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
GR116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cooper Black
Shots faced
41
Saves
40
Allowed
1
xGA
5.05
GSAx
+4.05
Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
28
Saves
26
Allowed
2
xGA
1.84
GSAx
-0.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:38Michael Benning (1–0)low · 56 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 1st 7:58Penalty
  • 1st 14:57Penalty
  • 1st 18:15Penalty
  • 2nd 9:34Colton Huard (2–0)low · 51 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 12:40Penalty
  • 2nd 16:19Penalty
  • 3rd 5:05Penalty
  • 3rd 7:06Tyler Angle (2–1)low · 34 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 3rd 7:45Penalty