AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 21

Abbotsford Canucks at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Abbotsford Canucks
3:5
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

ABBSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
2.43.2
High danger
35
Chances
1011
Shots
2233

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineABB belowDots are goals. Pre-game 62% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal33
10Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances5
2.37Expected goals3.18

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–121–61–20.4–1.3
2nd15–97–12–11.6–0.7
3rd3–122–40–20.4–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

ABB−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
ABB116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nikita Tolopilo
Shots faced
33
Saves
28
Allowed
5
xGA
3.18
GSAx
-1.82
Jakub Skarek
Shots faced
22
Saves
19
Allowed
3
xGA
2.37
GSAx
-0.63

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 13:08Penalty
  • 1st 13:28Oliver Wahlstrom (0–1)5v4 · medium · 42 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 1st 14:37Penalty
  • 1st 16:32Penalty
  • 1st 16:32Jimmy Huntington (0–2)5v4 · high · 19 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 1st 19:27Penalty
  • 1st 19:27Penalty
  • 1st 19:27Penalty
  • 2nd 0:51Penalty
  • 2nd 1:32Ben Berard (1–2)5v4 · medium · 40 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 4:32Penalty
  • 2nd 4:32Penalty
  • 2nd 5:47Penalty
  • 2nd 6:46Ty Mueller (2–2)5v4 · medium · 28 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 6:54Penalty
  • 2nd 6:54Penalty
  • 2nd 6:54Penalty
  • 2nd 6:54Penalty
  • 2nd 8:25Chase Wouters (3–2)medium · 22 ft · beat Jakub Skarek
  • 2nd 17:31Penalty
  • 2nd 17:31Penalty
  • 3rd 6:18Pavol Regenda (3–3)medium · 22 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 16:35Igor Chernyshov (3–4)high · rebound · 17 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 18:46Pavol Regenda (3–5)empty net · high · 13 ft · beat Nikita Tolopilo
  • 3rd 19:27Penalty
  • 3rd 19:27Penalty