AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 22

Belleville Senators at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Belleville Senators
2:7
Final
Laval Rocket

The sheet

BELLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
10%90%
xG
1.55.2
High danger
311
Chances
718
Shots
1637

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

024P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineBEL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 65% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

16Shots on goal37
7Scoring chances18
3High-danger chances11
1.46Expected goals5.24

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–81–11–00.3–0.6
2nd4–153–111–60.5–2.3
3rd6–143–61–50.6–2.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BEL−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BEL31:38 of the 3rd18:2218:22+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jackson Parsons
Shots faced
37
Saves
30
Allowed
7
xGA
5.24
GSAx
-1.76
Jacob Fowler
Shots faced
16
Saves
14
Allowed
2
xGA
1.46
GSAx
-0.54

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:58Penalty
  • 1st 3:58Penalty
  • 1st 3:58Penalty
  • 1st 8:51Penalty
  • 1st 11:54David Reinbacher (0–1)low · slap · 63 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 1st 13:35Philippe Daoust (1–1)low · wrist · 36 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 1st 19:58Penalty
  • 2nd 4:15Penalty
  • 2nd 4:15Penalty
  • 2nd 4:15Penalty
  • 2nd 4:15Penalty
  • 2nd 5:30Penalty
  • 2nd 5:30Penalty
  • 2nd 6:51Filip Mešár (1–2)high · snap · rebound · 30 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 2nd 7:20Adam Engström (1–3)low · wrist · 46 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 2nd 11:37Penalty
  • 2nd 12:11Wyatt Bongiovanni (2–3)5v4 · medium · wrist · 35 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 2nd 19:02Penalty
  • 3rd 0:06Penalty
  • 3rd 0:23Penalty
  • 3rd 0:53Sean Farrell (2–4)5v4 · high · snap · 33 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 3rd 1:38David Reinbacher (2–5)grade A · wrist · rebound · 16 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 3rd 3:27Penalty
  • 3rd 3:43Sean Farrell (2–6)5v4 · low · wrist · 44 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 3rd 6:03William Trudeau (2–7)low · snap · 37 ft · beat Jackson Parsons
  • 3rd 16:17Penalty
  • 3rd 16:17Penalty
  • 3rd 17:17Penalty
  • 3rd 17:17Penalty
  • 3rd 17:17Penalty
  • 3rd 17:17Penalty
  • 3rd 18:07Penalty
  • 3rd 19:55Penalty
  • 3rd 19:55Penalty
  • 3rd 19:55Penalty