AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 22

Bridgeport Islanders at Syracuse Crunch

Upstate Medical University Arena · Syracuse, NY

Bridgeport Islanders
3:5
Final
Syracuse Crunch

The sheet

BRISYRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
2.72.8
High danger
58
Chances
913
Shots
2124

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SYR above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% SYR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal24
9Scoring chances13
5High-danger chances8
2.69Expected goals2.78

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–53–41–10.8–0.6
2nd12–106–34–21.8–0.9
3rd2–90–60–50.0–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BRI−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BRI116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Parker Gahagen
Shots faced
24
Saves
19
Allowed
5
xGA
2.78
GSAx
-2.22
Brandon Halverson
Shots faced
21
Saves
18
Allowed
3
xGA
2.69
GSAx
-0.31

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:54Cam Berg (1–0)low · 15 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 1st 15:10Penalty
  • 1st 17:16Scott Sabourin (1–1)medium · 17 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 3:44Penalty
  • 2nd 4:59Hunter Drew (2–1)5v4 · medium · 28 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 2nd 8:16Penalty
  • 2nd 9:39Dylan Duke (2–2)5v4 · high · 15 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 12:15Jakob Pelletier (2–3)high · rebound · 9 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 2nd 14:49Matthew Highmore (3–3)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
  • 3rd 2:59Penalty
  • 3rd 7:40Nick Abruzzese (3–4)high · rebound · 19 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 15:08Penalty
  • 3rd 18:50Mitchell Chaffee (3–5)empty net · low · 109 ft · beat Parker Gahagen
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty