AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 22

Rockford IceHogs at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Rockford IceHogs
2:5
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

RFDTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
40%60%
xG
2.62.6
High danger
47
Chances
98
Shots
2925

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineRFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 62% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal25
9Scoring chances8
4High-danger chances7
2.62Expected goals2.63

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–90–20–20.2–0.9
2nd8–63–21–20.7–0.5
3rd17–106–43–31.7–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

RFD−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
RFD216:21 of the 3rd3:393:39+0.017 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
29
Saves
27
Allowed
2
xGA
2.62
GSAx
+0.62
Stanislav Berezhnoy
Shots faced
24
Saves
20
Allowed
4
xGA
2.62
GSAx
-1.38

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:34Penalty
  • 1st 2:34Penalty
  • 1st 2:34Penalty
  • 1st 2:34Penalty
  • 1st 9:38Penalty
  • 1st 13:26Trey Taylor (0–1)high · rebound · 7 ft · beat Stanislav Berezhnoy
  • 2nd 5:56Penalty
  • 2nd 11:53Curtis McKenzie (0–2)high · 6 ft · beat Stanislav Berezhnoy
  • 2nd 15:45Nick Lardis (1–2)medium · 17 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 2:06Penalty
  • 3rd 7:10Penalty
  • 3rd 8:57Penalty
  • 3rd 11:28Penalty
  • 3rd 11:28Penalty
  • 3rd 16:21Jack Becker (1–3)grade A · rebound · 10 ft · beat Stanislav Berezhnoy
  • 3rd 17:31Nick Lardis (2–3)grade A · rebound · 14 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 19:08Arttu Hyry (2–4)empty net · low · 75 ft
  • 3rd 19:29Gavin White (2–5)empty net · low · 156 ft · beat Stanislav Berezhnoy