AHLDashboard
Saturday, November 22

Ontario Reign at Bakersfield Condors

Dignity Health Arena · Bakersfield, CA

Ontario Reign
3:2
Final / OT
Bakersfield Condors

The sheet

ONTBAKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
93%7%
xG
4.41.0
High danger
81
Chances
162
Shots
3415

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BAK above the lineONT belowDots are goals. Pre-game 44% BAK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

34Shots on goal15
16Scoring chances2
8High-danger chances1
4.41Expected goals0.96

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9721110.60.4
2nd16691502.40.4
3rd8240100.80.1
OT1010100.60.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
34
Saves
31
Allowed
3
xGA
4.41
GSAx
+1.41
Shots faced
15
Saves
13
Allowed
2
xGA
0.96
GSAx
-1.04

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:05Penalty
  • 1st 13:14Riley Stillman (0–1)low · slap · 56 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
  • 1st 18:06Max Jones (0–2)low · wrist · 45 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
  • 2nd 1:32Penalty
  • 2nd 3:25Taylor Ward (1–2)5v4 · medium · tip · 25 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 2nd 7:05Penalty
  • 2nd 7:05Penalty
  • 2nd 7:05Penalty
  • 2nd 12:33Penalty
  • 2nd 12:33Penalty
  • 2nd 14:00Cole Guttman (2–2)medium · wrist · 26 ft · beat Matt Tomkins
  • 2nd 16:12Penalty
  • 2nd 19:18Penalty
  • 3rd 6:16Penalty
  • 3rd 10:46Penalty
  • OT 2:53Jared Wright (3–2)grade A · wrist · 32 ft · beat Matt Tomkins