AHLDashboard
Tuesday, November 25

Grand Rapids Griffins at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Grand Rapids Griffins
10:1
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

GRTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
94%6%
xG
3.81.2
High danger
101
Chances
172
Shots
3320

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

33Shots on goal20
17Scoring chances2
10High-danger chances1
3.82Expected goals1.22

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14751411.30.5
2nd9560301.30.2
3rd10861301.30.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−70:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX70:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.001 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Shots faced
22
Saves
15
Allowed
7
xGA
2.82
GSAx
-4.18
Shots faced
20
Saves
19
Allowed
1
xGA
1.22
GSAx
+0.22
Shots faced
11
Saves
8
Allowed
3
xGA
1.00
GSAx
-2.00

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:15Eduards Tralmaks (1–0)high · 14 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 11:46Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (2–0)high · 7 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 13:20Dominik Shine (3–0)high · 5 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 19:03Antti Tuomisto (4–0)low · 66 ft · beat Ben Kraws
  • 2nd 1:41Penalty
  • 2nd 2:38Dominik Shine (5–0)5v4 · high · rebound · 12 ft · beat Ben Kraws
  • 2nd 8:00Justin Holl (6–0)high · 5 ft · beat Ben Kraws
  • 2nd 12:27Dominik Shine (7–0)high · rebound · 10 ft · beat Ben Kraws
  • 2nd 13:13Penalty
  • 2nd 17:34Penalty
  • 3rd 8:09John Leonard (8–0)low · 35 ft · beat Ben Kraws
  • 3rd 11:29Penalty
  • 3rd 12:20Eduards Tralmaks (9–0)5v4 · high · 60 ft · beat Ben Kraws
  • 3rd 13:23Kole Lind (9–1)medium · 24 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 3rd 18:08Eduards Tralmaks (10–1)high · 22 ft · beat Ben Kraws