Syracuse Crunch at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Syracuse Crunch

5:3

Final

Utica Comets

The sheet

SYRUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

76%24%

xG: 1.81.8
High danger: 20
Chances: 68
Shots: 2422

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

UTC above the lineSYR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 51% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal22

6Scoring chances8

2High-danger chances0

1.81Expected goals1.78

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	11–8	3–6	0–0	0.9–0.9
2nd	6–8	0–2	0–0	0.3–0.6
3rd	7–6	3–0	2–0	0.6–0.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
UTC	3	10:49 of the 3rd	9:11	9:11	+0.013 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nico Daws

Shots faced: 24
Saves: 19
Allowed: 5
xGA: 1.81
GSAx: -3.19

Brandon Halverson

Shots faced: 22
Saves: 19
Allowed: 3
xGA: 1.78
GSAx: -1.22

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 6:25Jonathan Gruden (0–1)medium · 10 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
1st 7:34Conor Geekie (1–1)low · 22 ft · beat Nico Daws
1st 9:58Penalty
1st 12:13Penalty
1st 14:20Brendan Furry (2–1)medium · 10 ft · beat Nico Daws
1st 15:43Penalty
1st 15:57Penalty
1st 16:58Mike Hardman (2–2)low · 32 ft · beat Brandon Halverson
1st 18:14Penalty
2nd 2:31Penalty
2nd 2:31Penalty
2nd 7:19Conor Geekie (3–2)low · 35 ft · beat Nico Daws
2nd 11:55Wojciech Stachowiak (4–2)low · 33 ft · beat Nico Daws
3rd 10:49Brendan Furry (5–2)high · 4 ft · beat Nico Daws
3rd 15:18Penalty
3rd 15:18Penalty
3rd 18:01Penalty
3rd 18:10Brian Halonen (5–3)4v5 · low · 27 ft · beat Brandon Halverson