AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, November 26

Chicago Wolves at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Chicago Wolves
8:4
Final
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

CHIRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
66%34%
xG
4.13.5
High danger
74
Chances
1714
Shots
3540

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineCHI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 44% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

35Shots on goal40
17Scoring chances14
7High-danger chances4
4.08Expected goals3.48

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st14–139–42–11.8–1.0
2nd15–87–35–11.9–0.8
3rd6–191–70–20.3–1.7

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

RFD−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
RFD30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
40
Saves
36
Allowed
4
xGA
3.48
GSAx
-0.52
Drew Commesso
Shots faced
35
Saves
27
Allowed
8
xGA
4.08
GSAx
-3.92

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:11Gleb Trikozov (1–0)medium · 14 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 1st 5:39Penalty
  • 1st 6:52Gavin Bayreuther (2–0)4v5 · medium · 10 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 1st 10:06Josiah Slavin (3–0)grade A · rebound · 15 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 1st 13:41Penalty
  • 2nd 0:28Gavin Hayes (3–1)high · rebound · 10 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 4:48Penalty
  • 2nd 6:28Evan Vierling (4–1)5v4 · high · tip · 11 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 7:59Penalty
  • 2nd 9:30Ronan Seeley (5–1)5v4 · low · 24 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 10:30Penalty
  • 2nd 11:29Samuel Savoie (5–2)4v5 · medium · 9 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 14:54Skyler Brind’Amour (6–2)high · 13 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 2nd 15:58Penalty
  • 2nd 15:58Penalty
  • 2nd 17:55Penalty
  • 2nd 18:32Kevin Korchinski (6–3)5v4 · low · 45 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 2:26Penalty
  • 3rd 2:55Skyler Brind’Amour (7–3)empty net · low · 53 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 9:29Gavin Hayes (7–4)low · 15 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 13:51Blake Biondi (8–4)low · backhand · 13 ft · beat Drew Commesso
  • 3rd 15:55Penalty