AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, November 26

Grand Rapids Griffins at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

Grand Rapids Griffins
6:3
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

GRTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
65%35%
xG
2.01.6
High danger
22
Chances
72
Shots
2827

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineGR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

28Shots on goal27
7Scoring chances2
2High-danger chances2
2.05Expected goals1.57

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–92–01–00.6–0.4
2nd11–81–10–10.7–0.7
3rd7–104–11–10.7–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX215:00 of the 3rd5:005:00+0.023 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
28
Saves
22
Allowed
6
xGA
2.05
GSAx
-3.95
Sebastian Cossa
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
1.57
GSAx
-1.43

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 1:11Penalty
  • 1st 1:11Penalty
  • 1st 13:08Sheldon Dries (1–0)high · 10 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 1st 16:19Penalty
  • 1st 17:36Trey Taylor (1–1)5v4 · low · 55 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 2:32Kyle Looft (1–2)low · 38 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 3:45Jakub Rychlovský (2–2)low · 16 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 6:41Tyler Angle (3–2)low · 24 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 15:30Cameron Hughes (3–3)high · 21 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
  • 2nd 16:37Penalty
  • 3rd 0:34Penalty
  • 3rd 3:59Michael Brandsegg-Nygård (4–3)medium · 30 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 7:07Penalty
  • 3rd 14:09Penalty
  • 3rd 14:09Penalty
  • 3rd 15:00John Leonard (5–3)empty net · low · 42 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 17:13Dominik Shine (6–3)empty net · high · 10 ft · beat Rémi Poirier