AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, November 26

Calgary Wranglers at San Jose Barracuda

Tech CU Arena · San Jose, CA

Calgary Wranglers
0:3
Final
San Jose Barracuda

The sheet

CGYSJSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
23%77%
xG
1.42.6
High danger
12
Chances
46
Shots
2233

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SJ above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 70% SJ.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal33
4Scoring chances6
1High-danger chances2
1.40Expected goals2.56

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st5–142–20–00.4–0.8
2nd7–132–21–10.6–1.2
3rd10–60–20–10.4–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CGY−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CGY30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ivan Prosvetov
Shots faced
33
Saves
30
Allowed
3
xGA
2.56
GSAx
-0.44
Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
22
Saves
22
Allowed
0
xGA
1.40
GSAx
+1.40

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:14Penalty
  • 1st 16:16Igor Chernyshov (0–1)low · 46 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 1st 19:20Cole Clayton (0–2)low · rebound · 51 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 1:48Penalty
  • 2nd 2:25Filip Bystedt (0–3)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Ivan Prosvetov
  • 2nd 6:17Penalty
  • 2nd 10:13Penalty
  • 3rd 1:50Penalty
  • 3rd 6:11Penalty
  • 3rd 6:21Penalty
  • 3rd 10:42Penalty