Iowa Wild at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Iowa Wild

2:3

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

IAGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

62%38%

xG: 3.72.7
High danger: 76
Chances: 159
Shots: 3029

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineIA belowDots are goals. Pre-game 65% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

30Shots on goal29

15Scoring chances9

7High-danger chances6

3.71Expected goals2.72

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	5–15	3–5	1–4	0.7–1.7
2nd	13–7	7–2	3–2	1.5–0.5
3rd	12–7	5–2	3–0	1.5–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
IA	1	16:56 of the 3rd	3:04	3:04	+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Carter Gylander

Shots faced: 30
Saves: 28
Allowed: 2
xGA: 3.72
GSAx: +1.72

William Rousseau

Shots faced: 29
Saves: 26
Allowed: 3
xGA: 2.72
GSAx: -0.28

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 8:24Justin Holl (0–1)medium · wrist · 6 ft · beat William Rousseau
1st 8:27Penalty
1st 8:27Penalty
1st 8:27Penalty
1st 8:27Penalty
1st 8:27Penalty
1st 8:27Penalty
1st 13:07Penalty
1st 14:25Eduards Tralmaks (0–2)5v4 · low · slap · 47 ft · beat William Rousseau
1st 14:34Nicolas Aubé-Kubel (1–2)low · 22 ft · beat Carter Gylander
1st 17:34Penalty
2nd 4:11Penalty
2nd 5:33Gerry Mayhew (2–2)5v4 · high · wrist · 4 ft · beat Carter Gylander
2nd 8:05John Leonard (2–3)high · 19 ft · beat William Rousseau
2nd 15:47Penalty
3rd 3:23Penalty
3rd 4:38Penalty
3rd 10:36Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty
3rd 20:00Penalty