AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 28

Hartford Wolf Pack at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Hartford Wolf Pack
6:4
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

HFDCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
47%53%
xG
2.52.9
High danger
64
Chances
1012
Shots
2531

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 64% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal31
10Scoring chances12
6High-danger chances4
2.49Expected goals2.93

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–103–61–30.6–1.2
2nd7–123–32–00.7–1.1
3rd12–94–33–11.2–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Callum Tung
Shots faced
31
Saves
27
Allowed
4
xGA
2.93
GSAx
-1.07
Ivan Fedotov
Shots faced
25
Saves
19
Allowed
6
xGA
2.49
GSAx
-3.51

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:01Penalty
  • 1st 4:35Adam Sýkora (1–0)high · 20 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 1st 15:52Hunter McKown (1–1)high · backhand · 9 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 1st 16:22Brendan Brisson (2–1)medium · 9 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 2:42Bryce McConnell-Barker (3–1)medium · 27 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 3:08Penalty
  • 2nd 14:15Jordan Dumais (3–2)medium · 19 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 2nd 16:01Trey Fix-Wolansky (4–2)high · 11 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 2nd 16:39Penalty
  • 2nd 19:59Penalty
  • 3rd 0:19Penalty
  • 3rd 0:45Luca Del Bel Belluz (4–3)5v4 · high · 35 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 3rd 2:13Luca Del Bel Belluz (4–4)5v4 · medium · 34 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 3rd 3:16Penalty
  • 3rd 5:49Penalty
  • 3rd 6:28Penalty
  • 3rd 11:16Bryce McConnell-Barker (5–4)low · 11 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 13:03Penalty
  • 3rd 13:03Penalty
  • 3rd 13:03Penalty
  • 3rd 19:30Trey Fix-Wolansky (6–4)empty net · low · 173 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov