AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 28

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
1:4
Final
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

LVWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
28%72%
xG
2.82.6
High danger
25
Chances
512
Shots
3225

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal25
5Scoring chances12
2High-danger chances5
2.76Expected goals2.58

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st10–103–42–21.3–0.9
2nd8–111–70–20.6–1.3
3rd14–41–10–10.9–0.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LV−3−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LV30:00 of the 3rd20:0014:26+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
32
Saves
31
Allowed
1
xGA
2.76
GSAx
+1.76
Aleksei Kolosov
Shots faced
25
Saves
21
Allowed
4
xGA
2.58
GSAx
-1.42

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 8:52Gabe Klassen (0–1)high · snap · 11 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 1st 12:46Penalty
  • 1st 14:56Penalty
  • 2nd 1:57Penalty
  • 2nd 9:03Rafaël Harvey-Pinard (0–2)medium · wrist · 20 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 2nd 9:56Penalty
  • 2nd 13:25Penalty
  • 2nd 15:24Penalty
  • 2nd 16:19Rutger McGroarty (0–3)5v4 · medium · wrist · 29 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov
  • 3rd 6:35Anthony Richard (1–3)low · tip · 12 ft · beat Sergei Murashov
  • 3rd 13:27Penalty
  • 3rd 19:39Rafaël Harvey-Pinard (1–4)empty net · grade A · tip · 11 ft · beat Aleksei Kolosov