AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 28

Milwaukee Admirals at Rockford IceHogs

BMO Center · Rockford, IL

Milwaukee Admirals
3:2
Final / OT
Rockford IceHogs

The sheet

MILRFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
15%85%
xG
1.64.1
High danger
28
Chances
516
Shots
2339

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
RFD above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% RFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal39
5Scoring chances16
2High-danger chances8
1.64Expected goals4.13

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–142–81–60.5–1.9
2nd9–72–21–10.6–0.6
3rd4–180–60–10.3–1.6
OT2–01–00–00.2–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Matthew Murray
Shots faced
39
Saves
37
Allowed
2
xGA
4.13
GSAx
+2.13
Stanislav Berezhnoy
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
1.64
GSAx
-1.36

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 0:15Penalty
  • 1st 5:22Penalty
  • 1st 5:22Penalty
  • 1st 10:18Penalty
  • 1st 10:18Penalty
  • 1st 10:18Penalty
  • 1st 10:18Penalty
  • 1st 10:18Penalty
  • 1st 11:16Penalty
  • 1st 11:16Penalty
  • 1st 11:16Penalty
  • 1st 13:09Jamie Engelbert (0–1)4v5 · high · 13 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 6:20Joakim Kemell (1–1)high · tip · 6 ft · beat Stanislav Berezhnoy
  • 3rd 10:46Ryder Rolston (2–1)low · tip · 23 ft · beat Stanislav Berezhnoy
  • 3rd 12:51Brett Seney (2–2)medium · 15 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • OT 1:41Penalty
  • OT 1:59Oasiz Wiesblatt (3–2)5v4 · medium · tip · 10 ft · beat Stanislav Berezhnoy