AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, November 28

San Jose Barracuda at Colorado Eagles

Blue Federal Credit Union Arena · Loveland, CO

San Jose Barracuda
2:4
Final
Colorado Eagles

The sheet

SJCOLSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
31%69%
xG
2.22.5
High danger
45
Chances
513
Shots
2526

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
COL above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 60% COL.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal26
5Scoring chances13
4High-danger chances5
2.16Expected goals2.49

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–101–41–10.6–0.8
2nd6–71–51–30.5–1.0
3rd10–93–42–11.0–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

SJ−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
SJ212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
26
Saves
22
Allowed
4
xGA
2.49
GSAx
-1.51
Trent Miner
Shots faced
25
Saves
23
Allowed
2
xGA
2.16
GSAx
+0.16

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 5:24Taylor Makar (0–1)medium · 10 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 1st 7:51Penalty
  • 1st 9:16Penalty
  • 1st 12:33Penalty
  • 1st 13:25Penalty
  • 1st 13:35Taylor Makar (0–2)high · 18 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 1st 15:03Penalty
  • 1st 17:45Penalty
  • 1st 19:19Lucas Carlsson (1–2)5v4 · low · 43 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 5:18Penalty
  • 2nd 7:57Penalty
  • 2nd 8:39Tye Felhaber (1–3)4v5 · high · 6 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 2nd 9:12Lucas Carlsson (2–3)5v4 · low · 36 ft · beat Trent Miner
  • 2nd 13:28Penalty
  • 2nd 15:54Penalty
  • 2nd 17:18Penalty
  • 3rd 2:28Jack Ahcan (2–4)medium · 9 ft · beat Gabriel Carriere
  • 3rd 6:12Penalty
  • 3rd 12:28Penalty
  • 3rd 17:07Penalty