Coachella Valley Firebirds at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Coachella Valley Firebirds

5:0

Final

San Diego Gulls

The sheet

CVSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

36%64%

xG: 2.23.2
High danger: 47
Chances: 912
Shots: 2331

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

SD above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 49% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

23Shots on goal31

9Scoring chances12

4High-danger chances7

2.16Expected goals3.25

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	7–14	4–7	2–4	0.7–1.6
2nd	7–10	3–1	1–0	0.8–0.6
3rd	9–7	2–4	1–3	0.6–1.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
SD	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Nikke Kokko

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 31
Allowed: 0
xGA: 3.25
GSAx: +3.25

Vyacheslav Buteyets

Shots faced: 23
Saves: 18
Allowed: 5
xGA: 2.16
GSAx: -2.84

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 1:20Penalty
1st 3:44Penalty
1st 6:30Lleyton Roed (1–0)high · 15 ft · beat Vyacheslav Buteyets
1st 8:14Penalty
1st 12:40Penalty
1st 15:40Jagger Firkus (2–0)medium · 11 ft · beat Vyacheslav Buteyets
2nd 8:13Penalty
2nd 11:41Penalty
2nd 18:28Ben Meyers (3–0)low · 25 ft · beat Vyacheslav Buteyets
3rd 1:50Penalty
3rd 5:25Ben Meyers (4–0)medium · 24 ft · beat Vyacheslav Buteyets
3rd 9:44Kaden Hammell (5–0)low · 48 ft · beat Vyacheslav Buteyets
3rd 12:54Penalty