AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 29

Hartford Wolf Pack at Cleveland Monsters

Rocket Arena · Cleveland, OH

Hartford Wolf Pack
3:2
Final
Cleveland Monsters

The sheet

HFDCLESolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
20%80%
xG
2.04.2
High danger
38
Chances
916
Shots
2137

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLE above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 64% CLE.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

21Shots on goal37
9Scoring chances16
3High-danger chances8
2.04Expected goals4.22

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st4–82–30–00.3–0.7
2nd9–182–81–60.7–2.3
3rd8–115–52–21.1–1.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE0:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE118:59 of the 3rd1:011:01+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Spencer Martin
Shots faced
37
Saves
35
Allowed
2
xGA
4.22
GSAx
+2.22
Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
21
Saves
18
Allowed
3
xGA
2.04
GSAx
-0.96

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:07Penalty
  • 2nd 11:38Corson Ceulemans (0–1)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 12:43Penalty
  • 2nd 16:21Hunter McKown (0–2)high · 12 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 19:04Penalty
  • 2nd 19:04Penalty
  • 2nd 19:04Penalty
  • 2nd 19:04Penalty
  • 2nd 19:04Penalty
  • 3rd 7:04Penalty
  • 3rd 7:04Penalty
  • 3rd 7:04Penalty
  • 3rd 7:04Penalty
  • 3rd 11:18Penalty
  • 3rd 11:38Penalty
  • 3rd 11:56Gabe Perreault (1–2)medium · 21 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 12:05Trey Fix-Wolansky (2–2)high · 8 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 14:16Penalty
  • 3rd 18:40Penalty
  • 3rd 18:59Gabe Perreault (3–2)5v4 · high · 12 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko