AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 29

Laval Rocket at Lehigh Valley Phantoms

PPL Center · Allentown, PA

Laval Rocket
5:4
Final / SO
Lehigh Valley Phantoms

The sheet

LAVLVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
48%52%
xG
3.74.4
High danger
811
Chances
1415
Shots
3238

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LV above the lineLAV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 44% LV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal38
14Scoring chances15
8High-danger chances11
3.70Expected goals4.39

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–143–52–40.8–1.8
2nd12–105–32–21.4–1.0
3rd12–116–74–51.6–1.4
OT0–30–00–00.0–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

LAV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
LAV116:56 of the 3rd3:042:27+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jacob Fowler
Shots faced
38
Saves
34
Allowed
4
xGA
4.39
GSAx
+0.39
Carson Bjarnason
Shots faced
32
Saves
28
Allowed
4
xGA
3.70
GSAx
-0.30

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:42Alex Belzile (1–0)high · 13 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 1st 13:23Penalty
  • 1st 14:40Carl Grundström (1–1)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 1st 17:01Samuel Blais (2–1)high · 10 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 0:34Penalty
  • 2nd 3:25Penalty
  • 2nd 7:51Penalty
  • 2nd 8:27Alex Belzile (3–1)5v4 · grade A · rebound · 12 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 2nd 13:17Penalty
  • 2nd 18:43Penalty
  • 2nd 19:33Penalty
  • 2nd 19:33Penalty
  • 2nd 19:33Penalty
  • 2nd 19:59Christian Kyrou (3–2)5v4 · medium · 13 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 3rd 2:06Anthony Richard (3–3)high · rebound · 12 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 3rd 5:57Penalty
  • 3rd 5:57Penalty
  • 3rd 5:57Penalty
  • 3rd 12:38Lane Pederson (3–4)medium · 13 ft · beat Jacob Fowler
  • 3rd 16:30Penalty
  • 3rd 19:23Samuel Blais (4–4)grade A · 61 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason