AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, November 29

Texas Stars at Coachella Valley Firebirds

Acrisure Arena · Palm Desert, CA

Texas Stars
5:3
Final
Coachella Valley Firebirds

The sheet

TEXCVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
39%61%
xG
2.33.0
High danger
45
Chances
811
Shots
2531

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CV above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 58% CV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal31
8Scoring chances11
4High-danger chances5
2.30Expected goals3.03

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–53–01–00.8–0.3
2nd8–172–92–30.7–2.0
3rd8–93–21–20.7–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CV−3−2−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CV30:00 of the 3rd20:0010:54+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
31
Saves
28
Allowed
3
xGA
3.03
GSAx
+0.03
Victor Östman
Shots faced
25
Saves
20
Allowed
5
xGA
2.30
GSAx
-2.70

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 7:21Harrison Scott (1–0)medium · 13 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 1st 16:52Penalty
  • 1st 16:59Artem Shlaine (2–0)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 2nd 1:24Penalty
  • 2nd 3:46Harrison Scott (3–0)low · 51 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 2nd 3:57Penalty
  • 2nd 4:36Jack Becker (4–0)4v5 · low · 30 ft · beat Victor Östman
  • 2nd 6:27Penalty
  • 2nd 6:27Penalty
  • 2nd 12:59Penalty
  • 2nd 14:00Penalty
  • 2nd 14:50Ben Meyers (4–1)5v4 · medium · 26 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 2nd 15:44Penalty
  • 2nd 18:22Penalty
  • 2nd 18:52Penalty
  • 3rd 6:06John Hayden (4–2)high · 17 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 13:53David Goyette (4–3)low · 46 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
  • 3rd 19:42Michael Karow (5–3)empty net · low · 144 ft · beat Victor Östman