Cleveland Monsters at Grand Rapids Griffins

Van Andel Arena · Grand Rapids, MI

Cleveland Monsters

1:4

Final

Grand Rapids Griffins

The sheet

CLEGRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

74%26%

xG: 3.92.4
High danger: 93
Chances: 179
Shots: 3223

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

GR above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 52% GR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

32Shots on goal23

17Scoring chances9

9High-danger chances3

3.88Expected goals2.43

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	15–5	7–3	2–1	1.5–0.8
2nd	9–9	5–1	4–0	1.3–0.4
3rd	8–9	5–5	3–2	1.1–1.3

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
CLE	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sebastian Cossa

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 30
Allowed: 1
xGA: 3.81
GSAx: +2.81

Ivan Fedotov

Shots faced: 23
Saves: 19
Allowed: 4
xGA: 2.43
GSAx: -1.57

Dustin Tokarski

Shots faced: 1
Saves: 1
Allowed: 0
xGA: 0.07
GSAx: +0.07

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 2:41Penalty
1st 5:45Penalty
1st 8:18Tate Singleton (1–0)medium · tip · 18 ft · beat Sebastian Cossa
2nd 2:01Antti Tuomisto (1–1)low · slap · 37 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
2nd 5:16Penalty
2nd 13:57Penalty
2nd 13:57Penalty
2nd 13:57Penalty
2nd 13:57Penalty
2nd 15:02John Leonard (1–2)medium · wrist · 23 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
2nd 18:53Penalty
3rd 2:00Austin Watson (1–3)medium · wrist · 21 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
3rd 4:31Penalty
3rd 14:48Penalty
3rd 16:49Penalty
3rd 16:49Penalty
3rd 16:49Penalty
3rd 18:28John Leonard (1–4)empty net · low · wrist · 124 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov