AHLDashboard
Wednesday, December 3

Utica Comets at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Utica Comets
4:3
Final / OT
Rochester Americans

The sheet

UTCROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
67%33%
xG
3.72.5
High danger
94
Chances
127
Shots
2927

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineUTC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

29Shots on goal27
12Scoring chances7
9High-danger chances4
3.70Expected goals2.47

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8842311.10.7
2nd131264532.01.4
3rd5621100.40.4
OT3100000.20.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
3.70
GSAx
-0.30
Shots faced
27
Saves
24
Allowed
3
xGA
2.47
GSAx
-0.53

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:48Penalty
  • 1st 18:00Penalty
  • 2nd 0:28Brian Halonen (1–0)low · 49 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 2:57Nathan Légaré (2–0)grade A · rebound · 9 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 5:44Ryan Schmelzer (3–0)grade A · rebound · 8 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 6:42Penalty
  • 2nd 7:25Isak Rosén (3–1)5v4 · medium · 34 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 8:32Penalty
  • 2nd 8:32Penalty
  • 2nd 8:32Penalty
  • 2nd 8:32Penalty
  • 2nd 12:24Isak Rosén (3–2)low · 36 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 2nd 13:14Penalty
  • 2nd 14:56Konsta Helenius (3–3)5v4 · low · 38 ft · beat Nico Daws
  • 3rd 13:22Penalty
  • 3rd 15:55Penalty
  • OT 3:21Xavier Parent (4–3)low · 21 ft · beat Devon Levi