AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 5

Rochester Americans at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Rochester Americans
6:3
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

ROCCLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
55%45%
xG
2.22.2
High danger
31
Chances
69
Shots
2725

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.52P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineROC belowDots are goals. Pre-game 67% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

27Shots on goal25
6Scoring chances9
3High-danger chances1
2.16Expected goals2.20

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st12–101–30–00.7–0.9
2nd6–43–31–00.6–0.4
3rd9–112–32–10.9–0.9

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT33:44 of the 3rd16:163:44+0.022 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Louis Domingue
Shots faced
26
Saves
21
Allowed
5
xGA
2.09
GSAx
-2.91
Topias Leinonen
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.20
GSAx
-0.80

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 12:01Penalty
  • 1st 13:52Sandis Vilmanis (0–1)5v4 · medium · 22 ft · beat Topias Leinonen
  • 1st 14:30Trevor Kuntar (1–1)low · 27 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 1st 17:52Penalty
  • 2nd 6:15Penalty
  • 2nd 12:35Penalty
  • 2nd 15:39Penalty
  • 2nd 15:39Penalty
  • 2nd 16:42Jack Rathbone (2–1)medium · 16 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 2nd 17:39Penalty
  • 3rd 1:32Penalty
  • 3rd 2:21Brendan Warren (3–1)4v5 · high · 25 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 3:44Ryan Johnson (4–1)low · 190 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 3:52Penalty
  • 3rd 4:24Ben Steeves (4–2)5v4 · medium · 42 ft · beat Topias Leinonen
  • 3rd 5:15Penalty
  • 3rd 8:34Ben Steeves (4–3)low · 41 ft · beat Topias Leinonen
  • 3rd 10:37Penalty
  • 3rd 18:20Isak Rosén (5–3)empty net · high · 14 ft · beat Louis Domingue
  • 3rd 18:59Konsta Helenius (6–3)empty net · low · 45 ft
  • 3rd 19:23Penalty