Bridgeport Islanders at Utica Comets

Adirondack Bank Center · Utica, NY

Bridgeport Islanders

1:5

Final

Utica Comets

The sheet

BRIUTCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

77%23%

xG: 3.61.9
High danger: 64
Chances: 187
Shots: 3119

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

UTC above the lineBRI belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% UTC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal19

18Scoring chances7

6High-danger chances4

3.62Expected goals1.90

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	4–11	0–4	0–1	0.2–0.9
2nd	10–4	7–1	2–1	1.3–0.5
3rd	17–4	11–2	4–2	2.1–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
BRI	3	0:00 of the 3rd	20:00	20:00	+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jakub Málek

Shots faced: 31
Saves: 30
Allowed: 1
xGA: 3.62
GSAx: +2.62

Marcus Högberg

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 14
Allowed: 5
xGA: 1.90
GSAx: -3.10

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 4:14Lenni Hämeenaho (0–1)low · 22 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
1st 6:57Shane Lachance (0–2)high · 13 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
1st 16:21Ethan Edwards (0–3)medium · 17 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
2nd 6:07Penalty
2nd 6:55Kyle Criscuolo (0–4)4v5 · high · 13 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
2nd 12:29Joey Larson (1–4)high · 8 ft · beat Jakub Málek
2nd 12:54Penalty
2nd 18:45Penalty
3rd 4:48Mike Hardman (1–5)low · 57 ft · beat Marcus Högberg
3rd 5:44Penalty
3rd 8:09Penalty