AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 5

Bakersfield Condors at Henderson Silver Knights

Lee’s Family Forum · Henderson, NV

Bakersfield Condors
2:5
Final
Henderson Silver Knights

The sheet

BAKHSKSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
38%62%
xG
2.33.1
High danger
68
Chances
913
Shots
2631

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HSK above the lineBAK belowDots are goals. Pre-game 61% HSK.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

26Shots on goal31
9Scoring chances13
6High-danger chances8
2.34Expected goals3.08

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–91–31–30.4–0.8
2nd7–155–94–51.2–2.0
3rd12–73–11–00.8–0.2

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

BAK−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
BAK212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Connor Ingram
Shots faced
31
Saves
26
Allowed
5
xGA
3.08
GSAx
-1.92
Carl Lindbom
Shots faced
26
Saves
24
Allowed
2
xGA
2.34
GSAx
+0.34

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:31Tanner Laczynski (0–1)high · backhand · 8 ft · beat Connor Ingram
  • 1st 5:20Penalty
  • 1st 5:20Penalty
  • 1st 12:23Penalty
  • 2nd 3:02Ben Hemmerling (0–2)medium · wrist · 29 ft · beat Connor Ingram
  • 2nd 6:00Isaac Howard (1–2)low · 47 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 2nd 7:14Penalty
  • 2nd 9:01Penalty
  • 2nd 12:49Penalty
  • 2nd 12:49Penalty
  • 2nd 12:49Mitch McLain (1–3)grade A · wrist · rebound · 5 ft · beat Connor Ingram
  • 2nd 14:19Penalty
  • 2nd 17:50Penalty
  • 2nd 18:45Viljami Marjala (2–3)5v4 · grade A · snap · rebound · 7 ft · beat Carl Lindbom
  • 3rd 1:58Penalty
  • 3rd 6:26Trevor Connelly (2–4)medium · slap · 5 ft · beat Connor Ingram
  • 3rd 7:27Penalty
  • 3rd 7:27Penalty
  • 3rd 14:14Penalty
  • 3rd 15:14Penalty
  • 3rd 18:29Dylan Coghlan (2–5)empty net · low · wrist · 177 ft · beat Connor Ingram