AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 6

Providence Bruins at Springfield Thunderbirds

MassMutual Center · Springfield, MA

Providence Bruins
4:3
Final / OT
Springfield Thunderbirds

The sheet

PROSPRSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
85%15%
xG
3.01.6
High danger
51
Chances
124
Shots
3123

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
SPR above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 42% SPR.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

31Shots on goal23
12Scoring chances4
5High-danger chances1
3.02Expected goals1.61

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–75–12–01.1–0.4
2nd15–86–23–11.5–0.7
3rd6–81–10–00.4–0.6
OT1–00–00–00.1–0.0

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Georgii Romanov
Shots faced
31
Saves
27
Allowed
4
xGA
3.02
GSAx
-0.98
Simon Zajicek
Shots faced
23
Saves
20
Allowed
3
xGA
1.61
GSAx
-1.39

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:55Jake Schmaltz (1–0)medium · 21 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 5:45Patrick Brown (2–0)grade A · rebound · 27 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 1st 14:22Jakub Stancl (2–1)low · 22 ft · beat Simon Zajicek
  • 2nd 1:07Fabian Lysell (3–1)low · 44 ft · beat Georgii Romanov
  • 2nd 13:14Jakub Stancl (3–2)low · 22 ft · beat Simon Zajicek
  • 2nd 15:23Penalty
  • 2nd 15:23Penalty
  • 2nd 15:23Penalty
  • 2nd 16:22Penalty
  • 2nd 16:22Penalty
  • 3rd 5:28Jakub Stancl (3–3)low · 21 ft · beat Simon Zajicek
  • 3rd 7:18Penalty
  • 3rd 15:54Penalty
  • OT 0:45Christian Wolanin (4–3)low · 34 ft · beat Georgii Romanov