AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 6

Hartford Wolf Pack at Bridgeport Islanders

Total Mortgage Arena · Bridgeport, CT

Hartford Wolf Pack
2:6
Final
Bridgeport Islanders

The sheet

HFDBRISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
16%84%
xG
1.32.5
High danger
04
Chances
47
Shots
2036

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
BRI above the lineHFD belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% BRI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

20Shots on goal36
4Scoring chances7
0High-danger chances4
1.29Expected goals2.50

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–122–10–10.5–0.6
2nd7–111–50–30.5–1.3
3rd6–131–10–00.3–0.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD30:00 of the 3rd20:0020:00+0.024 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Dylan Garand
Shots faced
23
Saves
21
Allowed
2
xGA
1.88
GSAx
-0.12
Henrik Tikkanen
Shots faced
20
Saves
18
Allowed
2
xGA
1.30
GSAx
-0.70
Callum Tung
Shots faced
12
Saves
9
Allowed
3
xGA
0.62
GSAx
-2.38

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:58Adam Beckman (0–1)low · 44 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 1st 12:54Cam Thiesing (0–2)low · 38 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 1st 15:42Penalty
  • 1st 15:42Penalty
  • 1st 19:48Liam Foudy (0–3)high · 14 ft · beat Callum Tung
  • 2nd 0:24Justin Dowling (1–3)low · 40 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 2:22Matthew Maggio (1–4)high · 160 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 3:33Penalty
  • 2nd 3:33Penalty
  • 2nd 4:35Penalty
  • 2nd 5:03Brennan Othmann (2–4)5v4 · medium · 25 ft · beat Henrik Tikkanen
  • 2nd 17:30Marshall Warren (2–5)low · 16 ft · beat Dylan Garand
  • 2nd 19:04Penalty
  • 3rd 5:37Penalty
  • 3rd 8:42Penalty
  • 3rd 12:21Penalty
  • 3rd 16:37Liam Foudy (2–6)empty net · low · 86 ft