AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 6

Milwaukee Admirals at Chicago Wolves

Allstate Arena · Rosemont, IL

Milwaukee Admirals
2:5
Final
Chicago Wolves

The sheet

MILCHISolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
19%81%
xG
2.03.7
High danger
25
Chances
714
Shots
2235

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CHI above the lineMIL belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CHI.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

22Shots on goal35
7Scoring chances14
2High-danger chances5
1.98Expected goals3.66

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–102–50–00.5–1.1
2nd7–132–31–10.6–1.0
3rd9–123–61–40.8–1.6

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

MIL−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
MIL216:24 of the 3rd3:363:36+0.017 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Matthew Murray
Shots faced
35
Saves
30
Allowed
5
xGA
3.66
GSAx
-1.34
Cayden Primeau
Shots faced
22
Saves
20
Allowed
2
xGA
1.98
GSAx
-0.02

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 3:45Penalty
  • 1st 4:51Penalty
  • 1st 8:42Ryan Suzuki (0–1)medium · 16 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 1st 17:03Penalty
  • 1st 19:48Penalty
  • 1st 19:48Penalty
  • 2nd 4:09Cole O’Hara (1–1)low · 34 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 2nd 14:07Skyler Brind’Amour (1–2)high · 10 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 2nd 15:41Daniel Carr (2–2)medium · 29 ft · beat Cayden Primeau
  • 3rd 3:55Noel Gunler (2–3)medium · 24 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 16:24Justin Robidas (2–4)high · 22 ft · beat Matthew Murray
  • 3rd 17:59Penalty
  • 3rd 17:59Penalty
  • 3rd 18:08Penalty
  • 3rd 18:22Bradly Nadeau (2–5)empty net · grade A · 11 ft · beat Matthew Murray