AHLDashboard
‹ Saturday, December 6

Coachella Valley Firebirds at Abbotsford Canucks

Rogers Forum · Abbotsford, BC

Coachella Valley Firebirds
4:3
Final / SO
Abbotsford Canucks

The sheet

CVABBSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
76%24%
xG
4.11.9
High danger
43
Chances
139
Shots
4519

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

01234P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ABB above the lineCV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 45% ABB.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

45Shots on goal19
13Scoring chances9
4High-danger chances3
4.08Expected goals1.95

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st17–65–30–21.4–0.7
2nd11–81–40–10.7–0.9
3rd13–36–24–01.6–0.3
OT4–21–00–00.4–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CV−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CV116:56 of the 3rd3:041:30+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Jiří Patera
Shots faced
45
Saves
42
Allowed
3
xGA
4.08
GSAx
+1.08
Nikke Kokko
Shots faced
19
Saves
16
Allowed
3
xGA
1.94
GSAx
-1.06

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:26Penalty
  • 1st 8:56Penalty
  • 1st 9:16Nils Åman (0–1)5v4 · high · 16 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 15:50Penalty
  • 1st 17:25Jagger Firkus (1–1)5v4 · low · 40 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 1st 17:39Jimmy Schuldt (1–2)medium · 22 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 1st 18:20Penalty
  • 2nd 3:21Mackenzie MacEachern (1–3)high · 16 ft · beat Nikke Kokko
  • 2nd 5:44Penalty
  • 2nd 5:44Penalty
  • 2nd 6:12Penalty
  • 2nd 9:45Penalty
  • 2nd 12:53Penalty
  • 2nd 18:14Penalty
  • 3rd 1:22Jagger Firkus (2–3)high · rebound · 15 ft · beat Jiří Patera
  • 3rd 18:26Ben Meyers (3–3)high · 17 ft · beat Jiří Patera