AHLDashboard
Sunday, December 7

Calgary Wranglers at Ontario Reign

Toyota Arena · Ontario, CA

Calgary Wranglers
1:2
Final / OT
Ontario Reign

The sheet

CGYONTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
17%83%
xG
1.22.8
High danger
13
Chances
39
Shots
1627

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ONT above the lineCGY belowDots are goals. Pre-game 71% ONT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

16Shots on goal27
3Scoring chances9
1High-danger chances3
1.25Expected goals2.75

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st3913010.21.0
2nd6914010.50.8
3rd7611100.50.4
OT0301010.00.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
27
Saves
25
Allowed
2
xGA
2.75
GSAx
+0.75
Shots faced
16
Saves
15
Allowed
1
xGA
1.25
GSAx
+0.25

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 6:59Penalty
  • 1st 13:39Penalty
  • 2nd 3:40Penalty
  • 2nd 3:40Penalty
  • 2nd 5:04Aydar Suniev (1–0)low · 39 ft · beat Isaiah Saville
  • 2nd 8:52Andre Lee (1–1)medium · 23 ft · beat Connor Murphy
  • 2nd 14:53Penalty
  • 2nd 16:28Penalty
  • 2nd 18:35Penalty
  • OT 3:00Joe Hicketts (1–2)grade A · 22 ft · beat Connor Murphy