Texas Stars at San Diego Gulls

Pechanga Arena San Diego · San Diego, CA

Texas Stars

1:5

Final

San Diego Gulls

The sheet

TEXSDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals

Deserve to winexpected goals

28%72%

xG: 1.73.7
High danger: 34
Chances: 715
Shots: 1942

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

SD above the lineTEX belowDots are goals. Pre-game 54% SD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

19Shots on goal42

7Scoring chances15

3High-danger chances4

1.73Expected goals3.74

By period

Per	SOG	SC	HD	xG
1st	2–15	0–6	0–2	0.1–1.5
2nd	10–14	5–5	2–1	1.0–1.4
3rd	7–13	2–4	1–1	0.6–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal

Trailing	First behind by	Net empty from	Time left	Empty-net time	Worth
TEX	2	12:09 of the 3rd	7:51	7:51	+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Rémi Poirier

Shots faced: 42
Saves: 37
Allowed: 5
xGA: 3.74
GSAx: -1.26

Calle Clang

Shots faced: 19
Saves: 18
Allowed: 1
xGA: 1.73
GSAx: +0.73

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

1st 0:30Penalty
1st 5:06Penalty
1st 14:16Jan Myšák (0–1)medium · 11 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
1st 17:31Penalty
2nd 4:55Penalty
3rd 5:16Penalty
3rd 6:41Tim Washe (0–2)5v4 · high · 13 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
3rd 12:23Sasha Pastujov (0–3)medium · 30 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
3rd 14:09Penalty
3rd 14:09Penalty
3rd 14:09Penalty
3rd 15:32Tim Washe (0–4)empty net · low · 116 ft · beat Rémi Poirier
3rd 16:11Kyle Looft (1–4)low · 45 ft · beat Calle Clang
3rd 18:20Nico Myatovic (1–5)empty net · low · 47 ft · beat Rémi Poirier