AHLDashboard
‹ Tuesday, December 9

Cleveland Monsters at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Cleveland Monsters
3:1
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

CLECLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
38%62%
xG
2.12.6
High danger
33
Chances
811
Shots
2428

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal28
8Scoring chances11
3High-danger chances3
2.13Expected goals2.60

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st8–92–40–10.6–0.9
2nd8–113–53–10.8–0.9
3rd8–83–20–10.7–0.8

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLT−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLT116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Ivan Fedotov
Shots faced
28
Saves
27
Allowed
1
xGA
2.60
GSAx
+1.60
Cooper Black
Shots faced
24
Saves
21
Allowed
3
xGA
2.13
GSAx
-0.87

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 10:13Penalty
  • 1st 11:02Penalty
  • 1st 17:23Penalty
  • 1st 18:09Mikael Pyyhtiä (1–0)4v5 · low · 27 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 1:38Penalty
  • 2nd 8:09Penalty
  • 2nd 8:46Owen Sillinger (2–0)5v4 · high · 25 ft · beat Cooper Black
  • 2nd 9:55Penalty
  • 2nd 11:33Penalty
  • 2nd 12:50Penalty
  • 2nd 17:13Penalty
  • 2nd 17:13Penalty
  • 3rd 5:04Penalty
  • 3rd 8:10Penalty
  • 3rd 8:10Penalty
  • 3rd 8:36Michael Benning (2–1)low · 30 ft · beat Ivan Fedotov
  • 3rd 9:31Penalty
  • 3rd 9:31Penalty
  • 3rd 11:11Penalty
  • 3rd 16:18Penalty
  • 3rd 19:39Dysin Mayo (3–1)empty net · low · 88 ft · beat Cooper Black