AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, December 10

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins at Hartford Wolf Pack

PeoplesBank Arena · Hartford, CT

Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins
3:0
Final
Hartford Wolf Pack

The sheet

WBSHFDSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
70%30%
xG
2.42.2
High danger
62
Chances
96
Shots
2534

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
HFD above the lineWBS belowDots are goals. Pre-game 46% HFD.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal34
9Scoring chances6
6High-danger chances2
2.44Expected goals2.24

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st6–201–31–10.3–1.3
2nd11–64–23–01.0–0.5
3rd8–84–12–11.1–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

HFD−30:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
HFD37:54 of the 3rd12:0612:06+0.017 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Sergei Murashov
Shots faced
34
Saves
34
Allowed
0
xGA
2.24
GSAx
+2.24
Spencer Martin
Shots faced
25
Saves
22
Allowed
3
xGA
2.44
GSAx
-0.56

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 4:01Penalty
  • 1st 17:50Penalty
  • 2nd 2:59Phil Tomasino (1–0)low · 12 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 6:31Penalty
  • 2nd 6:31Penalty
  • 2nd 9:07Avery Hayes (2–0)high · 19 ft · beat Spencer Martin
  • 2nd 14:59Penalty
  • 2nd 19:54Penalty
  • 3rd 0:45Penalty
  • 3rd 3:51Penalty
  • 3rd 7:54Aidan McDonough (3–0)medium · 29 ft · beat Spencer Martin