AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, December 10

Cleveland Monsters at Charlotte Checkers

Bojangles Coliseum · Charlotte, NC

Cleveland Monsters
0:4
Final
Charlotte Checkers

The sheet

CLECLTSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
17%83%
xG
1.12.4
High danger
24
Chances
49
Shots
1330

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
CLT above the lineCLE belowDots are goals. Pre-game 56% CLT.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

13Shots on goal30
4Scoring chances9
2High-danger chances4
1.06Expected goals2.38

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st2–120–60–40.1–1.3
2nd6–93–12–00.7–0.5
3rd5–91–20–00.3–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

CLE−20:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
CLE212:09 of the 3rd7:517:51+0.027 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Zach Sawchenko
Shots faced
30
Saves
26
Allowed
4
xGA
2.38
GSAx
-1.62
Kirill Gerasimyuk
Shots faced
13
Saves
13
Allowed
0
xGA
1.06
GSAx
+1.06

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 11:49Liam McLinskey (0–1)low · 31 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 1st 15:43Penalty
  • 2nd 2:51Penalty
  • 3rd 2:33Sandis Vilmanis (0–2)medium · 13 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 7:47Penalty
  • 3rd 7:47Penalty
  • 3rd 7:47Penalty
  • 3rd 18:29Jake Livingstone (0–3)empty net · low · 82 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 18:55Riese Gaber (0–4)medium · 19 ft · beat Zach Sawchenko
  • 3rd 19:23Penalty
  • 3rd 19:23Penalty
  • 3rd 19:23Penalty
  • 3rd 19:23Penalty