AHLDashboard
‹ Wednesday, December 10

Toronto Marlies at Laval Rocket

Place Bell · Laval, QC

Toronto Marlies
5:4
Final / SO
Laval Rocket

The sheet

TORLAVSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
37%63%
xG
3.03.3
High danger
47
Chances
1012
Shots
2529

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

0123P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
LAV above the lineTOR belowDots are goals. Pre-game 55% LAV.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal29
10Scoring chances12
4High-danger chances7
2.97Expected goals3.30

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st9–144–72–31.0–1.7
2nd7–63–21–20.8–0.6
3rd5–83–21–20.9–0.8
OT4–10–10–00.3–0.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TOR−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TOR116:56 of the 3rd3:041:55+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Vyacheslav Peksa
Shots faced
29
Saves
25
Allowed
4
xGA
3.30
GSAx
-0.70
Kaapo Kähkönen
Shots faced
25
Saves
21
Allowed
4
xGA
2.97
GSAx
-1.03

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:56Penalty
  • 1st 4:59William Trudeau (0–1)low · wrist · 62 ft · beat Vyacheslav Peksa
  • 1st 8:26Alex Belzile (0–2)low · 25 ft · beat Vyacheslav Peksa
  • 1st 9:46Penalty
  • 1st 10:02Penalty
  • 1st 15:10Penalty
  • 1st 17:02Sean Farrell (0–3)5v4 · grade A · wrist · rebound · 10 ft · beat Vyacheslav Peksa
  • 2nd 1:18Jacob Quillan (1–3)high · wrist · 14 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 6:20Penalty
  • 2nd 6:20Penalty
  • 2nd 6:20Matthew Barbolini (2–3)medium · wrist · 24 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 6:41Penalty
  • 2nd 11:09Luke Tuch (2–4)high · tip · 9 ft · beat Vyacheslav Peksa
  • 2nd 13:35Alex Nylander (3–4)low · wrist · 39 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen
  • 2nd 19:36Penalty
  • 3rd 5:11Penalty
  • 3rd 5:11Penalty
  • 3rd 5:11Penalty
  • 3rd 18:51Logan Shaw (4–4)grade A · wrist · rebound · 12 ft · beat Kaapo Kähkönen