AHLDashboard
‹ Friday, December 12

San Jose Barracuda at Texas Stars

H-E-B Center at Cedar Park · Cedar Park, TX

San Jose Barracuda
3:2
Final
Texas Stars

The sheet

SJTEXSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
63%37%
xG
2.32.3
High danger
41
Chances
97
Shots
2429

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

00.511.522.5P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
TEX above the lineSJ belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% TEX.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

24Shots on goal29
9Scoring chances7
4High-danger chances1
2.25Expected goals2.33

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st7–82–41–00.5–0.7
2nd10–134–31–10.9–1.1
3rd7–83–02–00.8–0.5

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

TEX−10:005:0010:0015:0020:00
Solid bar = net should be emptyDashed = league-median pullHollow dot = empty-net goal
TrailingFirst behind byNet empty fromTime leftEmpty-net timeWorth
TEX116:56 of the 3rd3:043:04+0.052 pts

“Worth” is the standings points the empty net is expected to add, from that moment on, over pulling when AHL benches actually do. It is an expectation across every way the rest of the game could have gone, not a claim about this one result — a team can follow the rule perfectly and still lose by two.

In goal

Gabriel Carriere
Shots faced
29
Saves
27
Allowed
2
xGA
2.33
GSAx
+0.33
Rémi Poirier
Shots faced
24
Saves
21
Allowed
3
xGA
2.25
GSAx
-0.75

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties