AHLDashboard
Saturday, December 13

Lehigh Valley Phantoms at Rochester Americans

Blue Cross Arena · Rochester, NY

Lehigh Valley Phantoms
2:1
Final / SO
Rochester Americans

The sheet

LVROCSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
83%17%
xG
4.82.1
High danger
142
Chances
186
Shots
3926

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
ROC above the lineLV belowDots are goals. Pre-game 53% ROC.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

39Shots on goal26
18Scoring chances6
14High-danger chances2
4.76Expected goals2.11

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st61053511.20.7
2nd18461401.70.4
3rd11762411.40.7
OT4510100.50.4

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
39
Saves
38
Allowed
1
xGA
4.77
GSAx
+3.77
Shots faced
26
Saves
25
Allowed
1
xGA
2.11
GSAx
+1.11

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:06Penalty
  • 1st 2:06Penalty
  • 1st 2:41Penalty
  • 1st 3:44Carson Meyer (0–1)5v4 · medium · 25 ft · beat Carson Bjarnason
  • 1st 11:04Penalty
  • 1st 19:53Penalty
  • 2nd 4:21Penalty
  • 2nd 8:02Jacob Gaucher (1–1)grade A · rebound · 3 ft · beat Devon Levi
  • 2nd 9:32Penalty
  • 2nd 16:34Penalty
  • 3rd 11:04Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • 3rd 20:00Penalty
  • OT 0:28Penalty