AHLDashboard
Saturday, December 13

Providence Bruins at Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Mohegan Arena at Casey Plaza · Wilkes-Barre, PA

Providence Bruins
1:2
Final / OT
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

The sheet

PROWBSSolid with a pale centre = goal · outline = saved · area = expected goals
Deserve to winexpected goals
38%62%
xG
3.44.5
High danger
87
Chances
1316
Shots
2550

Each club’s colour washes in from its own end; where they meet is what the chances say. Centre ice is the halfway mark, so the gap between the seam and the red line is the argument. Goals are excluded on purpose.

Expected goals, minute by minute

012345P2P3
Cumulative expected goals · rings mark goals · dashed = goalie should be out, solid = goalie out

Win probability, as it happened

9050101st2nd3rd
WBS above the linePRO belowDots are goals. Pre-game 47% WBS.

The same model the scoreboard runs during a live game, replayed from this game’s goal times. It knows the score, the clock and what the two clubs were expected to do before puck drop; on a live night it also reads the man advantage and an empty net.

Head to head

25Shots on goal50
13Scoring chances16
8High-danger chances7
3.43Expected goals4.54

By period

PerSOGSCHDxG
1st92037230.92.0
2nd71644330.91.4
3rd81354211.11.0
OT1111100.50.1

Away–home, in that order.

Pulling the goalie

Nobody trailed late enough in the third for the goalie to be a decision.

In goal

Shots faced
36
Saves
34
Allowed
2
xGA
3.09
GSAx
+1.09
Shots faced
25
Saves
24
Allowed
1
xGA
3.43
GSAx
+2.43
Shots faced
14
Saves
14
Allowed
0
xGA
1.45
GSAx
+1.45

Goals saved above expected is what the chances faced were worth minus what actually went in, so a positive number is work the shot quality did not account for. Empty-net shots have no goaltender and are left out.

Scoring and penalties

  • 1st 2:05Penalty
  • 1st 7:43Penalty
  • 1st 9:56Penalty
  • 1st 9:56Penalty
  • 1st 13:34Penalty
  • 1st 14:45Penalty
  • 2nd 5:37Penalty
  • 2nd 12:45Avery Hayes (0–1)low · wrist · 55 ft · beat Simon Zajicek
  • 2nd 13:46Penalty
  • 2nd 15:03Riley Tufte (1–1)5v4 · high · 9 ft · beat Joel Blomqvist
  • 2nd 15:48Penalty
  • 2nd 17:59Penalty
  • 3rd 4:07Penalty
  • OT 2:08Valtteri Puustinen (1–2)medium · 8 ft · beat Simon Zajicek